Chicken prices recover, but embargoes still worry the sector

After 145 past neutral disease events, CORN moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Jan 9, 2021Curbs result in drop in chicken prices - The Hindu+6.3%
• Dec 22, 2016Chicken prices feared to soar over AI outbreak - The Korea Herald+0.4%
• Mar 10, 2017Chicken Prices Rreach Record High Levels Due to Bird Flu Outbreak | The Poultry Site+1.9%
• Aug 31, 2023PA is bird flu free, but when will consumers see a change in poultry prices at the grocery store?+1.5%
• Mar 7, 2025Avian Influenza in the U.S. impacts Mexico: chicken prices soar+1.2%

After 98 past neutral disease events, SBM moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Jun 26, 2020Grocery Prices Begin Recovery From Avian Flu Spike+2.8%
• Mar 4, 2021China’s pork herd recovery still a long way off – despite Govt rhetoric - Beef Central-3.0%
• Aug 8, 2019Analysts question African swine fever recovery | The Western Producer0.0%
• Feb 5, 2021Pig outlook: Lean hog futures prices power still higher | The Pig Site-0.8%
• Mar 4, 2025Chicken meat prices hold steady despite rising egg costs - AgriLife Today+1.6%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.