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JPMorgan's research forecasts USD/CAD at 1.41 in December 2026, implying some reversal of the Canadian dollar's recent strength. The Canadian dollar has held up despite third-quarter growth tracking near 1.5% q/q annualised, below the Bank of Canada's 2% forecast.
A weaker Canadian dollar lowers the cost of Canadian grain, canola and meal for foreign buyers, which can support Canadian export competitiveness. The effect on commodity prices is modest.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.