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The central bank's weekly Focus survey raised the 2026 inflation forecast from 5.19% to 5.22% and the year-end Selic projection from 13.25% to 13.50%. The dollar forecast for 2026 rose from R$5.05 to R$5.34, while the 2026 GDP growth estimate fell from 1.80% to 1.76%.
Forecasts for 2027 to 2029 inflation also moved higher for consecutive weeks.
A dollar forecast near R$5.34 and rising inflation expectations point to continued import cost pressure on feed and fertilizer, and to tighter domestic credit for agricultural buyers.
infomoney.com.brFelipe MoreiraNov 3, 2026After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
