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USDA's October WASDE put the 2025 U.S. rice crop at 157.7 million cwt, down 24% year over year, on about 2 million harvested acres. It raised the long-grain price forecast by 50 cents to $14 per cwt and projected global 2026 rice output down 4.6%.
A much smaller U.S. crop and lower global output tighten supply, supporting U.S. long-grain and broader rice prices. Higher imports are projected to cushion domestic shortfalls.
agribusinesswire.comNathan BrooksNov 2, 2026After 88 past bullish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
