
The dollar is moving on Middle East developments, the US midterm elections, and expectations for the Fed's policy path. Signs of US-Iran diplomatic progress lowered oil prices and reduced safe-haven demand.
Investors are also awaiting the US employment report.
Expectations of Fed tightening and lower energy prices shape the dollar's direction, which feeds into the cost of dollar-priced grain and feed imports. The move is a general macro backdrop, not a single shock.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.