
The dollar index jumped on Monday as riskier currencies fell and stock markets worldwide dropped on fears that rising COVID-19 cases would bring new lockdowns. Investors also worried that the U.S. Congress might fail to agree on more fiscal stimulus.
A risk-off safe-haven bid lifts the dollar and pressures commodity-linked currencies, which can weigh on dollar-priced agricultural and energy markets.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated the move day (Monday 2020-09-21), it describes the dollar index jumping as COVID-19 lockdown fears and stimulus doubts hit risk appetite, a safe-haven demand mechanism that matches the move.