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Commerzbank analyst Volkmar Baur said EUR/USD moved back above 1.15 for the first time since mid-June after eurozone GDP outpaced US growth on an annualized basis. He noted a very low US savings rate as a future drag on US GDP and said recent inflation data eases the path for an ECB hike in September.
Relative growth and expected ECB tightening support the euro against the dollar, which lifts dollar-priced commodity values. Baur flagged that part of the move could reverse if BoJ-related flows fade.
fxstreet.comFXStreet Insights TeamJul 31, 2026After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
