USDA's crop progress report showed 74% of the US corn crop in the top 18 states was harvested as of November 1, three points behind the five-year average. Tennessee became the first state to finish harvest, and 88% of soybeans were harvested, four points ahead of average.
Harvest progress is a routine pace indicator with limited price impact; faster soybean harvest means earlier farm marketing and supply availability. Corn remains near normal pace, so no new supply shock is indicated.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.