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Ukraine's 2026 sunflower seed crop is forecast at 11.9 million tonnes, up 16.5% year on year, with 85% of the area harvested by October 26. Production costs rose 15–20%, but seed prices rose only 3.6% over 2025–2026, leaving margins at 42–44%.
A larger Ukrainian crop increases available sunflower seed for crushing, which tends to weigh on sunflower meal and oil prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.