
Paris rapeseed futures rose about 2% in the past week to €472/t as Ukrainian rapeseed exports face a new 10% duty. European farmers are also holding back sales, and Chinese trade disputes with the US and Canada are affecting oilseed flows.
A 10% duty on Ukrainian rapeseed and reduced farmer selling tighten short-term European oilseed supply and support prices, though large global supplies could pressure markets later in the year.
After 49 past policy events, Oats moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.7%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.