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Municipal elections in South Africa are due on Wednesday, and markets are pricing few political risks. Rand volatility is low, government bond yields have fallen, and sovereign credit default swap costs are near a 16-year low.
The vote could shape the governing coalition and economic policy, which affects the rand and South African import demand. The direct effect on feed commodity prices is limited.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.