
On Sunday night the People's Bank of China, through deputy governor Yi Gang, talked up the yuan as stable and strong. Analysts said the bank may intervene before the dollar-yuan rate breaks 7.
China has already spent over US$800 billion of forex reserves in the past two years to prevent a free fall.
Central bank support for the yuan limits how far the currency can fall, which in turn limits the squeeze on Chinese import purchasing power for feed ingredients. A firmer yuan modestly supports Chinese demand for US and Brazilian soy and meal.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.