
The yuan has been weakening faster than expected as the dollar surges, raising fears of accelerated capital outflows. The central bank is diluting the dollar's role in the currency basket used to set the yuan's daily rate.
Persistent yuan weakness and capital outflow risk could slow Chinese demand for dollar-priced imports, a bearish factor for feed commodities.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.