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A Nebraska Extension piece examines ARC and PLC farm safety-net programs from the 2014 Farm Bill and their projected payments. It notes that producers face tight margins after commodity prices fell since 2012 while costs adjusted slowly.
As program support declines over time, producers may cut back or adjust planting and buying decisions, which can affect feed demand at the margin. The price effect is indirect and small.
cropwatch.unl.eduDec 1, 2016After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
