
A Reuters poll of 50 analysts sees the Australian dollar slipping to US$0.7300 in one month and US$0.7200 in three months. The New Zealand dollar is forecast to drop toward 69 US cents, with both currencies' relatively high yields limiting the decline.
Forecast weakness in the Aussie and kiwi reflects a stronger US dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices, though the impact on feed markets is indirect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.