
Bulgarian and Ukrainian sunflower seed prices have softened, with black sunflower seed at 355 EUR/mt CPT Varna and Bulgarian prices down 5 EUR/mt to 655 EUR/mt FCA. Mills are expected to process about 800,000 mt in 2016/17, around 42% of the crop of over 1.7m mt.
Weather and power supply in Bulgaria are returning to normal, and buyers are cautious about long-term contracts.
Easing seed prices and cautious forward buying point to ample near-term supply for crushers and feed users in Eastern Europe. Market participants expect unchanged sunflower acreage for 2017, so no major supply shift is priced in yet.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.