
Bulgaria's 2016 barley harvest rose about 4% to 727,155 mt, but carry-over stocks were very low at 4,900 mt. Exports through Varna fell 88.3% from 2015, and domestic prices are lower than last year, though recent trade pushed prices to a new high.
Heavy Russian and Ukrainian barley supply is pressuring Black Sea prices, and barley and corn act as feed substitutes, which spreads that pressure into the feed market.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.