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The National Grain and Oils Information Center estimates China will import 2 million tonnes of corn in 2016/17, down 37% from the previous year. Domestic corn prices have fallen to near import parity, removing the import advantage, and USDA had estimated 3 million tonnes.
Lower Chinese corn imports reduce global demand for US and other exported corn, which is bearish for corn export prices.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.