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Analysts at SICO expect the urea market to stay oversupplied in 2017, with new capacity of about 12 million tonnes in 2017-18 outpacing demand growth of about 6 million tonnes. They revised their 2017 urea price assumption up to $250/tonne from $230.
Excess supply keeps fertilizer prices under pressure, which supports lower nitrogen input costs for farmers, though the revised price forecast suggests some recovery.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.