
A Reuters poll of up to 39 strategists expects the rand to weaken almost 8% to 14.43 per dollar within a year. The forecast reflects difficulty controlling public spending and the possibility of rapid US interest rate rises.
Currency strategists also flagged the risk of further credit rating downgrades.
A weaker rand would raise the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed ingredients imported by South Africa. Forecasts like this can shift import hedging decisions, though they do not directly change supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.