Loading…

Goldman Sachs says the dollar has fallen despite stable interest rate differentials, mainly because of weak-dollar rhetoric from the new administration. Market pricing for Fed hikes is roughly unchanged since the start of 2017.
A softer dollar supports U.S. commodity exports by improving competitiveness, though the effect on feed prices is usually modest.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.