
The euro hit a three-year high above $1.14 after Trump paused higher tariffs for 90 days, producing its biggest one-day jump since 2015. The rally built on earlier gains that followed Germany's announced spending plan.
A weaker dollar and stronger euro shift trade-currency economics for US feed exports and European import demand. A firmer euro can make US commodities cheaper for euro buyers, which supports export demand.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Trump's 90-day tariff pause produced the euro's biggest one-day jump since 2015 and took it above $1.14, directly driving the 5-day gain (sentiment/currency).