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Gold fell as Fed Chair Yellen signaled rates could rise sooner, lifting the dollar to a 3.5-week high. Spot gold was about $1,226.70 an ounce, and futures implied around a 30 percent chance of three hikes this year.
A stronger dollar and higher rate expectations reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets and make dollar-priced commodities more expensive for foreign buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.