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Hot money from short-term Thai government bonds is expected to flow out ahead of the Fed's March 15 rate decision, weakening the baht after it had appreciated 2-3% this year. An economist at Maybank Kim Eng said further outflows would follow if the Fed keeps raising rates.
Capital outflows from Thailand and a weaker baht would raise local costs of dollar-priced feed imports. The effect on global commodity prices is limited.
posttoday.comMar 8, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
