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Lloyds Bank says USD/JPY has traded in a 111 to 119 range this year and moves closely with US Treasury yields. It expects short-term scope for a reversal but forecasts yen appreciation toward 108 by end-2017, after the Fed's March hike and the BoJ's yield curve control.
A stronger yen over the medium term would lower import costs for Japanese feed buyers, while rate divergence shapes global currency flows for commodities.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.