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Analysts say the Canadian dollar is poised to slump further after the CFTC showed speculators swinging from a net long of $1.6 billion to a net short of $1.8 billion as of March 21. The loonie traded near 75 U.S. cents, and two strategists consider it overvalued.
A weaker loonie makes Canadian grains and oilseeds cheaper for dollar-based buyers, and lower crude prices weigh on the currency; for feed buyers the effect is mainly through Canadian canola meal and barley export competitiveness.
theglobeandmail.comMichael BabadMar 30, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
