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Beef Central compared US live cattle and feeder futures with Australian forward cattle prices and found a wide gap heading into late 2017. Australia faces a slaughter cattle shortage after two years of drought, while US prices are pressured by herd rebuilding and cheap grain.
The gap is expected to push the US to seek restored access to the Australian beef market by August or September.
A large US-Australia price gap could lead to renewed trade access talks that affect beef export flows. Cheap US grain supports the US cattle price pressure that feeds into feed demand.
beefcentral.comJon CondonApr 19, 2017After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
