An Investing.com analysis says most signals point to OPEC extending its production cut at the May 25 meeting for at least three more months. It notes that a failed extension could cause oil prices to drop significantly, while an extension would likely lift prices and stabilize them in the low $50 range.
The extension decision is the main swing factor for crude prices in the coming weeks, and crude feeds into diesel, fertilizer and freight costs for feed producers.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.