Surplus grain transshipment capacity at Ukrainian ports, including new COFCO, Bunge and Risoil terminals, has pushed handling charges down to an average of about $12/t from $18-22/t 5-10 years ago. Analysts expect a second phase of reductions of $1-2/t, and Russian port costs have also fallen to $16-17/t.
Lower Black Sea handling costs improve export competitiveness for Ukrainian and Russian grain, which can support farmgate prices and lower delivered costs for importers in the new season.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.