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Banxico's tighter monetary policy and a foreign-exchange hedge auction programme have strengthened the Mexican peso significantly since January 19. The US government sent Congress notice on May 18 starting a 90-day consultation period before NAFTA renegotiation can begin.
Higher Mexican rates attract capital and support the peso, which lowers the cost of US feed imports priced in dollars. Any protectionist US demands in NAFTA talks could reverse the peso gains and disrupt Mexico's grain and meal trade.
doi.orgMay 22, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
