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World vegetable oil demand rose sharply in 2016 while production fell for the first time in over 30 years, tightening stocks. The outlook expects supply recovery from mid-2017 with a large palm oil-led output increase in 2018, which could drive a bearish trend.
Tight vegetable oil supplies currently support canola and rapeseed prices, but expected supply growth from 2018 points to a price decline. Canola is viewed as attractive at current levels after a record Western Canadian crop.
canoladigest.caThomas MielkeMar 1, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
