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Nikkei reports the Federal Reserve could begin shrinking its asset holdings as early as September, ending its post-2008 easing approach. Rate hikes are on hold amid weak inflation.
Balance sheet runoff is a mild tightening that can firm the dollar over time, a modest headwind for dollar-priced commodities.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.