Some Asian flour millers that had booked August-September wheat cargoes without fixing prices are now facing higher costs after a nearly 30 percent global wheat rally in June. Physical offers for Canadian and US spring wheat rose sharply, and Australian wheat followed the US futures move.
Higher spring wheat and Australian wheat offers raise the cost of wheat-based feed ingredients in Asia, while some buyers are holding back on expectations that the rally is overdone.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.