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The dollar fell sharply at the end of the week after Yellen and Draghi's Jackson Hole speeches did not address near-term monetary policy. Futures markets priced roughly a 35-40% chance of a Fed hike by year-end.
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate fell to 1.75%.
A weaker dollar and softer rate expectations tend to support dollar-denominated feed commodity prices. The lower breakeven also signals less inflation pressure ahead.
octaafrica.netAug 29, 2017After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
