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December oats closed at $2.43 1/4 per bushel on August 30, falling below technical support at $2.44 1/4. Noncommercial traders still hold a net-long position, though it has been reduced by about 31.5% since August 1.
Technical selling and liquidation of the large speculative long could push oats prices lower in the near term.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.