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Global seaborne diesel flows are rising and could hit a record above 8 million b/d in July. Demand in Europe remains below pre-pandemic levels and middle distillate stocks are building, pressuring diesel cracks.
A structural diesel surplus with weak margins tends to weigh on diesel prices and refinery economics, with limited upside until demand recovers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.