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Feeder cattle futures have held above $140/cwt since April, though signs of weakening have appeared. A March 2018 feeder contract trades near $139/cwt, with technical support at $120-$122 and a put option strike at $130 offered for 5.3 cents per pound.
Large 2017 placements are expected to weigh on feeder prices into early 2018, so producers are using put options for downside protection.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.