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About 800,000 tonnes of Black Sea wheat is expected to reach India in September and October as millers build reserves ahead of tight domestic supplies. Most deals were reported at $200-210 a tonne C&F.
Indian import demand from the Black Sea supports wheat export flows and prices, although the volume is modest relative to global trade.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.