CoBank projects US beef production to rise 3-5% in 2018 and 2019 as the herd expands, with the 2017 calf crop expected above 36 million head. Strong export demand is described as critical to keeping supplies in check.
Expanding US beef output adds supply pressure on cattle prices over the coming years, while strong export demand supports prices and feed-ingredient use in cattle feeding.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.