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Michigan's dry summer and record late-September heat have left soybeans drier than optimal and pushed harvest up by one to two weeks. Nearly 30% of the state was abnormally dry and 3% was in moderate drought by the end of September.
Some dairy cows were also affected by the dry conditions.
Early, dry-harvested soybeans may carry shrink and quality discounts, and drought stress on pasture and cattle could support feed demand. The effect on national prices is limited because Michigan is a small producer.
news.jrn.msu.eduKaley FechSep 29, 2017After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 32 past bullish weather events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.4%), and +3.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
