
Farm Futures' weekly producer survey found crops had improved in recent weeks but yields remained well below USDA's September 12 projections. Yield reports varied widely, from near-zero corn in some Iowa fields to 225 bushels per acre in others.
Eastern Midwest growers reported harvest problems from a wet spring that turned dry.
Field-level yields running below USDA estimates suggest the official crop numbers may be revised lower, which would support corn and soybean prices.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.