
The European Parliament backed a European Commission proposal capping cadmium in fertilizers at 20 mg/kg, phased in from an initial 60 mg/kg. Rock phosphate sources such as Egypt, Israel, Morocco, Senegal, Togo and Tunisia are affected.
Chatham Rise rock, which has low cadmium, could gain marketability.
Rock sourced from high-cadmium African deposits faces tighter EU access, which may reduce supply options for European phosphate producers and lift costs for phosphate fertilizers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.