
The euro posted its biggest weekly loss of the year after the ECB extended bond purchases into September 2018 while halving monthly buying from January. Separately, Catalonia's parliament declared independence from Spain, and Madrid responded by sacking the regional government and calling elections for 21 December.
A weaker euro and a stronger dollar lower US dollar-denominated commodity prices in the near term, while the Catalan crisis adds political risk to the euro.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.