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Palm oil demand is expected to stay robust through October as China and India rebuild low inventories ahead of the Mid-Autumn and Diwali festivals. Analysts expect October exports to rise 10-13%, though a narrow $80-90/tonne discount to soyoil could limit demand growth.
Strong restocking by the two largest buyers supports palm oil prices, while the narrow discount to soyoil creates a risk that buyers switch to soy oil.
business-standard.comReutersOct 16, 2017After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 81 past neutral trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
