House Agriculture Chairman Mike Conaway said the CBO has sped up its analysis of farm bill provisions and that the committee aims to produce a bill by the end of 2017 or early 2018. A bipartisan Senate bill from Ernst and Heitkamp, introduced October 24, would address payment disparities in the ARC program.
Farm bill timing and ARC changes shape producer support levels, but a final bill is unlikely before 2018. Near-term price impact is minimal.
After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.