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Ukraine exported 320,000 tonnes of wheat, 91,000 tonnes of barley and 58,000 tonnes of corn in the week of October 2-6. Russia shipped 523,000 tonnes of wheat in the same week.
Steady Ukrainian and Russian export pace supplies Mexico, Asia and North Africa, keeping Black Sea wheat competitive. Routine weekly flows give only a minor price signal.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.