
US natural-gas futures for July delivery fell more than 16% to settle at $7.189/MMBtu on June 14, 2022, after a Texas LNG facility said a fire would keep it offline until late 2022. Deliveries through February also dropped at least 10%.
Lost LNG export capacity cuts demand for US gas and reduces winter shortage concerns, which pushes the forward curve lower.
After 29 past bearish logistics events, NATGAS moved a median -9.8% over 5 sessions (21% higher; middle half -20.0% to -3.1%), and -16.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Freeport LNG outage extending to late 2022 removed export demand for US gas, driving July futures down over 16% on June 14, the main driver of the 5-day decline.