
Gold consolidated after an early-September high as rising US rate expectations and a stronger dollar pushed prices lower. Markets were pricing almost a full 25-basis-point hike in December after Trump nominated Jerome Powell as Fed chair.
Higher rate expectations and dollar strength reduce demand for gold and lift the cost of dollar-denominated commodities. The price signal for feed buyers is indirect.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.