USDA reported 695 grain barges, or 1.1 million tons, moved downbound in the week ending November 11, the highest weekly count since July. Repair work and high water at Ohio River L&D 52 caused delays, and harvest progress was slightly behind average.
Heavy barge movements ahead of Upper Mississippi winter closure help clear origin stocks, but L&D 52 delays raise freight costs and can weigh on interior cash bids.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 284 past neutral logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.4%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.