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Dry-bulk shipping costs have surged since July 2017, lifting the Baltic Exchange's main freight gauge to a near four-year high. Capesize rates have more than tripled, driven by Chinese coal and iron ore demand, and the spillover is lifting Panamax, Supramax and Handysize rates used for grain.
Higher freight costs erode the margin on grain and meal exports, pushing up delivered prices for feed buyers in importing regions. Order books near historic lows suggest freight strength may persist.
ttnews.comManisha Jha, Thomas BiesheuvelDec 11, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
